This is a map pool mismatch that the odds haven't priced in. 3DMAX don't play mirage at all. Zero maps. In a BO3 veto, that's a massive handicap because it forces them to spend a ban on a map MIBR would happily pick, leaving MIBR free to exploit 3DMAX's other weaknesses.

And the weaknesses are real. 3DMAX sit at 31% on ancient across 13 maps. MIBR win 85% of theirs across the same sample. That's not a gap; it's a chasm. So here's the veto problem: 3DMAX ban mirage, MIBR ban dust2 (3DMAX's comfort pick at 26 maps played). MIBR pick ancient and are overwhelming favorites on that map. 3DMAX pick nuke where they're decent at 60%. The decider lands on inferno, overpass or anubis, and MIBR hold advantages on all three (73% inferno, 89% anubis). The individual stats tell the same story: MIBR's team rating of 1.26 compared to 3DMAX's 1.09, with a 12-point ADR advantage.

The market is leaning on 3DMAX's ranking, but their recent wins are against PARIVISION, B8, Voca and WAZABI. Nothing that prepares them for a team with MIBR's map pool depth. At 2.36, you're getting a team that should be close to a coinflip in this specific matchup.