ASTRAL are ranked 114 to Lavked's 127, have stronger recent results and are somehow priced as the underdog at 2.02. That's a mispricing worth exploiting.

Look at what each team has actually done recently. ASTRAL have clean 2-0 wins over UNiTY, Ursa, rottweilers and Omega, with competitive losses to Sangal and Passion UA, both quality opponents ranked well above them. Lavked's recent wins come against megoshort, Hashiras and ex-RUBY, a noticeably weaker schedule. When Lavked faced better teams (G2 Ares, ESC, 100 Thieves, K27), they lost every single time. The individual stats back this up: ASTRAL hold a 1.18 to 1.08 rating advantage with better kills per round and significantly lower deaths per round (0.70 vs 0.75). ASTRAL's Dust2 (60% across 25 maps) directly targets Lavked's weakness on that map (40% in 5 maps), and Lavked have virtually no Inferno or Anubis experience to fall back on.

The market here looks like it's been swayed by Lavked's two recent wins while ignoring that those came against bottom-tier opposition. ASTRAL are the better team by most measurable standards and getting plus-money odds for it. At 2.02, this is a solid value play.