Completed
Our Prediction
INFINITE@ 2.22
Final Result
ex-RUBY won 2-0Match Analysis
INFINITE are the right side here and the market is undervaluing them. The numbers are clear: INFINITE carry a 1.26 rating against ex-RUBY's 1.09, they produce 88.4 ADR versus 80.4 for ex-RUBY, and they have beaten ex-RUBY in both previous meetings. Those are not marginal edges. That is a team that outperforms its opponent across every key metric and has proven it in direct competition. The map pool is where this gets sharper. INFINITE run 80% on Ancient (8-2 in form data) and 75% on Dust2 (6-2). ex-RUBY's Ancient record sits at 38.9% (7-11) and their form data shows a 0-1 Inferno record. INFINITE's CT-side round win rate of 62% is a particular edge: ex-RUBY concede on CT far more readily than INFINITE. On the maps most likely to be played, INFINITE have structural advantages. What the market is doing is weighting ex-RUBY's broader 7-3 record across last ten without adjusting for the fact that INFINITE have already beaten them twice and hold better underlying numbers. The reference is consensus weak from only two books, meaning there is genuine room for mispricing. We think the fair probability on INFINITE is meaningfully above what the odds imply.
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