MOUZ win this. Ranked #7 versus FUT's #14, competing at IEM Cologne on LAN, and the per-round damage gap between these teams is significant. MOUZ average 85.4 ADR versus FUT's 73.8, a gap that is roughly the equivalent of one free kill per five rounds. That kind of sustained per-round advantage compounds across a Bo3 in ways that win-loss records do not capture. MOUZ hold a 3-2 all-time H2H edge and carry a higher team rating (1.20 vs 1.12) alongside better KAST numbers (74.9% vs 72.3%). On the map pool side, MOUZ are 64% on Mirage across 11 maps and 80% on Overpass across 5, giving them reliable map picks in the veto. FUT's Nuke record sits at just 29% across 7 maps, which is a genuine weakness MOUZ can exploit. FUT's best map is Ancient at 83%, but MOUZ counter at 60% on that surface, so it is not the free win FUT would want. The contrarian angle is that FUT's two recent wins over G2 have inflated their stock significantly with casual followers. Those were meaningful results, but G2's inconsistency is well established. FUT in a genuine quality matchup at a Major, against a team with sharper per-round numbers and a structural map pool edge, is a different proposition. MOUZ at this price is a clean lean.