MOUZ are the right side here based on H2H and map leverage. They have beaten Legacy four times out of six meetings and come into this on a strong run of five wins in their last seven including clean 2-0 performances against MIBR, B8 and paiN. Legacy's last two results are a loss to Monte on Ancient and a loss to MIBR on Nuke, suggesting they dropped off their peak Cologne form at exactly the wrong time. On maps, MOUZ's Overpass is perfect at 100% across five games and Legacy has minimal experience on that surface. That is a genuine pick-and-win scenario in the veto. Legacy's strength is Mirage at 82% and that is the contested ground, but MOUZ counters at 64% and has enough depth elsewhere to avoid letting Legacy dictate the entire series. MOUZ's Ancient at 60% is a comfortable third-map option if it comes to that. The public is being swayed by Legacy's strong tournament run, including their win over The MongolZ and the Falcons bo5. That is legitimate credit but MOUZ has seen this team four times and won most of them. The Falcons loss is MOUZ's one blemish in recent form and that looks more like a one-off than a trend. MOUZ at this price against a team they consistently handle is a clean moderate-conviction pick.