Completed
Our Prediction
Legacy@ 3.50
Final Result
Natus Vincere won 2-0Match Analysis
Legacy beat NaVi in their most recent head-to-head meeting, and that 4-1 H2H lead is not a fluke. NaVi come in at 7-3 on paper but their losses include Spirit and Legacy in the same recent stretch, which tells you something about where their actual ceiling sits right now. Legacy have gone 6-4 with wins over TYLOO, M80 and a quality Falcons side in a Bo5, and their Mirage numbers are extraordinary: 82% win rate across 17 maps. NaVi also win 77% on Mirage, so that map becomes the critical veto battleground, but Legacy's Inferno at 64% across 14 maps gives them a second strong anchor while NaVi sit at 50% on Inferno. The structural map pool read slightly favours Legacy in a three-map series. The public sees NaVi at rank 2 and backs the brand. The H2H says otherwise. At the available underdog price, the market is not reflecting that 4-1 record seriously enough. Legacy at plus-money in a Major is exactly the kind of bet that separates sharp from recreational.
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