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Our Prediction
Legacy@ 1.64
Match Analysis
Legacy win this and the the book line has it wrong. PARIVISION come in with a 3-7 record over their last ten matches and have lost four of their last five, with the solitary win coming against Lynn Vision, not a tier one scalp. Legacy at rank 8 have beaten The MongolZ, Falcons in a Bo5, and MIBR in their recent run. That is a meaningfully better schedule than anything PARIVISION have navigated. The map pool is where Legacy really separate themselves. Legacy win Mirage at an 82% clip across 17 maps played. PARIVISION win Mirage at just 31% across 13 maps. That is a genuine pocket veto that Legacy can exploit, forcing the series onto ground where they are dominant. PARIVISION's best map is Dust2 at 64%, and Legacy are 56% there across 18 games, meaning even on PARIVISION's preferred terrain Legacy are competitive. Legacy also bring a 77% KAST and a rating of 1.19 versus PARIVISION's 1.07, a gap that matters over a Bo3 at a Major. The public sees PARIVISION ranked 10th, Legacy ranked 8th, H2H split at 4-4 and calls it a toss-up. What they miss is that the H2H is historical and current form is dramatically one-sided. PARIVISION are badly out of form while Legacy just beat Falcons over five maps. The price on Legacy here reflects neither that form gap nor the Mirage mismatch.
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