FlyQuest are the call here and the market is slightly under-pricing them against a paiN side that has been bleeding out over their last five matches. paiN arrive at this Bo3 on a three-game losing streak, having been bounced by BIG on Overpass, dropped to TYLOO on Mirage and then swept 2-0 by MOUZ. FlyQuest split their last five but the two wins were clean 2-0 sweeps against Liquid and THUNDER dOWNUNDER at this same event. Anubis is the map that makes this bet. FlyQuest own a 100% win rate on Anubis across 9 maps. It is their anchor and they will play it. paiN's Anubis rate sits at 80% across only 5 maps, a much thinner sample. More importantly, FlyQuest have no Mirage game at all, sitting at 0% across just 3 played, so paiN can pull them there as a counter. But a 1-1 split into a decider on a neutral map is FlyQuest's preferred scenario, and paiN's Inferno (33% across 6 maps) is a landmine they can be dragged onto. The contrarian angle is FlyQuest's rank. They sit at 81st globally and recreational bettors see that number next to paiN at 18th and assume a walkover. The rank gap does not reflect what is on the scoresheet this event. FlyQuest's rating of 1.19 versus paiN's 1.08, combined with a clear map pool weapon, makes this closer than the names suggest. The price is wrong on FlyQuest.