MIBR are the play here. the book has them installed at roughly 63% fair probability in this SA derby, yet the soft book has Legacy as the sizeable favourite. The sharp money is on MIBR and we follow it. The map evidence supports MIBR in the veto. Their Anubis win rate is 100% across four maps and their Ancient sits at 71% across seven. Legacy's Anubis sample is too small to draw conclusions and their Overpass at 75% across four maps is an obvious ban target for MIBR given that MIBR's own Overpass is 0% across four maps. MIBR's Mirage is a coin flip at 50% but Legacy's Mirage is their signature strength at 82% across 17 maps, so Legacy will push there and MIBR will avoid it. That leaves Ancient and Anubis as likely candidates, both of which are MIBR territory. Player stats also tilt MIBR's way with 91.6 ADR versus Legacy's 86 and a higher multi-kill rating. The public and recreational bettors are heavily backing Legacy off their impressive recent run including a 2-0 win over MIBR in their most recent meeting. That result is real and it is in the data. But the book is aware of it too and still prices MIBR as a 63% favourite. H2H is 6-4 to Legacy overall but the sharp book is telling you something about current form and map-specific match conditions that the headline record obscures. We trust the the book line.