FinalStake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier 2026 · Playoffs

FOKUS vs Phantom 1–2

Sun, Jun 21, 12:37 PM

FOKUS

Bo3

Phantom

Phantom won 1–2 at Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier 2026 · Playoffs.

Match recap

Phantom got the better of FOKUS 2–1 in a 3-map decider at Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier 2026 · Playoffs. FOKUS grabbed a close Dust2 13–10, Phantom took Ancient 13–7, and Phantom took a tight Nuke 19–16. Banjo top-fragged the match with a match-high 94 ADR. Full map-by-map breakdown, round timeline and player stats are below.

Player stats

MVP · ADR from match data; rating ≈ HLTV 1.0 (no KAST)

FOKUS

Player	K	D	A	+/–	HS%	ADR	Rating
Banjo	59	39	15	+20	51%	94	1.36
volt	47	43	21	+4	53%	72	1.06
ztr	46	48	22	-2	41%	73	0.88
matheos	42	51	16	-9	67%	89	0.98
Jorko	41	41	9	0	39%	53	1.06

Phantom

Player	K	D	A	+/–	HS%	ADR	Rating
kylar	58	45	15	+13	62%	90	1.18
Altekz	49	46	16	+3	57%	89	1.02
Kunai	40	47	11	-7	63%	61	0.89
TMB	38	53	20	-15	34%	68	0.72
mwlky	35	46	9	-11	34%	43	0.80

Map veto

1Phantom banned Inferno
2FOKUS banned Anubis
3Phantom picked Dust2
4FOKUS picked Ancient
5Phantom banned Mirage
6FOKUS banned Overpass
7Nuke was left over

Map-by-map breakdown

How FOKUS vs Phantom played out across the maps.

Map 1Dust213–10

Halftime 7–5

FOKUS 7 CT · 6 T · 1 pistolPhantom 5 CT · 5 T · 1 pistol

FOKUS

Phantom

CT round win T round win

Map 2Ancient7–13

Halftime 4–8

FOKUS 3 CT · 4 T · 1 pistolPhantom 8 CT · 5 T · 1 pistol

FOKUS

Phantom

CT round win T round win

Map 3Nuke16–19

Halftime 4–8

FOKUS 4 CT · 8 T · 1 pistolPhantom 4 CT · 8 T · 1 pistol

FOKUS

Phantom

CT round win T round win

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Our prediction

Under 2.5 maps

1.80 (thunderpick)

FOKUS have beaten Phantom both times they've met, and the structural reasons for that are still very much in place. The Under 2.5 maps bet rests on a simple premise: FOKUS almost certainly pick Ancient first, win it, then take a second map they're equally comfortable on. Their Ancient record is 11W-2L (84.6%) in team form; Phantom's is 5W-6L (45.5%). That first map is essentially decided before it begins. Should the series move to Overpass, FOKUS maintain an 83.3% win rate there (5W-1L in team form) against Phantom's moderate 57%. The team-level stats echo the map-level edge: FOKUS's overall round win rate (0.532) beats Phantom's (0.515), their T-side is significantly stronger (0.508 vs 0.460), and individually they record more kills per round and fewer deaths per round. Phantom simply do not have the tools to drag FOKUS into uncomfortable territory. The overlooked detail is that Phantom's veto options are thin against this specific opponent. They'd need to avoid FOKUS's comfort picks while finding a map they can actually win, and the data shows they can't consistently do either. A 2-0 is the most likely path, not a best-case scenario, and the Under price at Thunderpick doesn't reflect that. We're taking it.

Read the full prediction

Odds comparison

Bookmaker	FOKUS	Phantom	Payout
Duel	1.47	2.76	95.9%
Thunderpick	1.45	2.60	93.1%

Recent form

Last results, newest first.

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